Untitled Document
Issue dated - 11th July 2002

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Global yarn output breaks its two-year downtrend

World yarn production halted its seven-quarter decline in the first quarter of 2002, but output remained close to a three-year low. Fabric production also rose slightly over the period. Global yarn stocks dropped as the newly-incorporated US yarn stock position declined by almost 25 per cent. The level of world fabric inventories rose during the quarter, after having moved down over the previous nine months.

Global yarn output rose by 1.1 per cent in the first quarter, as North American production rebounded by 9.1 per cent after three successive quarters of weakness. Asian output was stable (-0.1 per cent), while the European and south American production declined by 1.1 per cent and 1.5 per cent respectively. On an annual basis, world output was 4.0 per cent lower, and continued to bear the impact of 2001 production cuts in the US (-17.1 per cent and Europe (-5.1 per cent). Asian output was little changed over the year (-0.2 per cent), while South American production rose by 4.9 per cent over the period.

Global fabric output rose by 1.0 per cent, as increases in Brazilian (+6.0 per cent) and European (+1.0 per cent) fabric production in the first quarter offset lower output in North America (-1.3 per cent). On an annual basis, world output was 2.4 per cent lower, driven by a 25.9 per cent drop in US production. Asian fabric output rose 10.9 per cent for the year, while European and South American production was comparatively stable on an annual basis (-2.1 per cent and +1.2 per cent respectively).

World yarn stock moved lower by 6.6 per cent during the quarter, as all regions outside Asia saw substantial inventory draw-downs. North American stocks, which have been included in the world aggregate for the first time, fell by 24.3 per cent. South America (-9.0 per cent) and Europe (-7.5 per cent) also experienced yarn stock reductions, while inventory levels in Asia were little changed (+0.6 per cent). On an annual basis, global stocks were 2.9 per cent lower, with year-on-year declines in the US (-29.1 per cent), Europe (-7.6 per cent) and Brazil (-4.9 per cent) offsetting a 10.2 per cent increase in Asian inventories which primarily reflects yarn stock positions in India and Pakistan.

Global fabric stocks rose by 4.3 per cent in the first quarter, as all regions except North America saw higher inventory levels: Europe (+9.9 per cent), Brazil (+0.2 per cent), and Asia (+1.4 per cent). For the year, global stocks declined by 1.6 per cent, with Asian and European stocks moving higher (+6.1 per cent and +17.4 per cent respectively) while North and South American inventories were, by contrast, reduced (-13. per cent and -28.0 per cent).

Brazilian and European yarn orders were unchanged during the quarter. Fabric orders declined by 5.4 per cent in Europe, but were 1.5 per cent higher in South America.

 


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