Issue dated - 02 September 2004

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Markets rise, sentiment still jittery

Gains in blue chips saw the market surge ahead during the week ended Thursday, August 26,2004. The major trigger was the easing of oil prices and consequently, energy-dependent old economy stocks moved up. Tech stocks held gains following the decent listing of Tata Consultancy Services. The Finance Bill was passed in the Parliament without any hiccups and this further boosted the sentiment. All these factors had positive bearing on the market.

However, there was some amount of caution on account of the ongoing truckers’ strike, now almost a week, which threatens to stoke domestic inflation, already at a 3-year high. The strike is driving up food prices and factory costs, and could hit industrial output if it lasts longer. Inflation continued to haunt the sentiment as the marketmen expect the economy to be on a sound footing. Rising inflation could deter the smooth road ahead. On Thursday, the volumes on the bourses picked up towards the close of the session on account of futures expiry. Shares worth Rs 1,757 crore were traded on BSE, as compared to Rs 1,967.84 crore on the day before. The breadth of the market was positive with 1,302 gainers and 662 losers.

Textile stocks remained reasonably rangebound during the week. With sector reshuffling continuing among funds, investors have begun moving into frontline stocks. Marketmen expect a mid-cap rally in the coming sessions and this will usher in a boon for textile midcaps like Zodica Clothing, Pantaloon Retail, Raymonds, Himatsingka Seide, etc. Sentiment in textile stocks though appear to be jittery, post-2004 investors expect a much better valuations and growth story. For Investment perspective, it appears that the market may remain in a rangebound mode between 4950 to 5350 levels. Sector shuffling may lead to battering of day traders. Investors are advised not to take short-term positions. Take a medium term view around six months to two years and then buy sound stocks based on future prospects. Avoid day trading.

 


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